METHODOLOGY

  Geopolitical and geoeconomic risk can never precisely be measured nor assessed through the prism of international relations, nor be reduced to a numerical score produced solely by quantitative analysis.  Cercius Group’s methodology is what truly separates us from our competitors. 


Cercius Group uses both parametric (logistic regressions, etc.) and non-parametric (t-tests, etc.) quantitative and qualitative approaches – focused on the principle of saturation. In addition, we also utilize mixed methods such as Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA), and Social Network Analysis (SNA) to provide you with a more comprehensive overview of specific issues. 


QCA allows us to bring the comparative aspect into the analysis, oftentimes focused on variables to establish correspondence between units (macro), or focused on specific cases, which implies an exhaustive examination of a defined case (micro). 


SNA provides us with key information regarding group structure and proprieties of certain individuals (role, status, etc.) within these structures. Social Network Analysis can also highlight possible reciprocity and mutuality links between individuals or clusters and also identify both veto points and key players (sociometry).

  

As such, Cercius Group’s team of analysts thrives to not only combine methods in order to provide you with recommendations and guidance when it comes to understanding local or international political contexts, we are also well versed in using multiple data collection methods (triangulation) in order to provide you with the most accurate information.


Cercius Group is constantly keeping up with the latest academic literature on research and analysis methodologies across disciplines in order to find new and innovative ways to measure political phenomenon. We stay ahead of our competitors by updating our methodology regularly in order to integrate new approaches and models.